I have found these types of readings at NWS to be inconsistent, some lower temperatures at lower elevations. I find using the NWS Bishop and Cottonwood Report Stations temperatures then extrapolating to be more accurate.
YMMV
But aren't the Bishop and
Cottonwood temp readings you mentioned real-time and history readings, not forecasts? Also, how would you extrapolate to other altitudes? And just because the NWS readings indicate sometimes a temp inversion doesn't mean it isn't correct, unless temp inversions are not possible in the Whitney Zone. Is that the case?
Maybe I should clarify something I did in my rough calculation for the summit temp. I only used the rough estimate of 3ºF per 1000' in extrapolating from 12,812' to the summit because the data happened to be going that way on that particular night. It was fortuitous that there was some rough order to the temp drop with elevation gain in the forecast for that night. Even so, I think it's only a best guess.
wbtravis 5152, You have a lot of experience in the Sierras so I have to respect your methods. What would you estimate for the low temp at Trail Camp next Saturday night?